When the Waters Are Murky: Embracing Uncertainty

In clinical practice, uncertainty is not an exception but a constant. Whether encountered in fluctuating renal parameters, evolving prognoses, or the unpredictable emotional responses of patients, uncertainty permeates both medical and psychological work. For clinicians, learning to tolerate and work constructively with ambiguity is not merely a coping skill; it is a professional competency that shapes clinical judgment, therapeutic alliance, and ethical decision-making.

Modern medicine often privileges decisiveness and clarity, yet the lived reality of chronic illness resists neat categorization. In nephrology, kidney function rarely follows a linear course. Values oscillate, treatments require recalibration, and patient responses vary despite evidence-based protocols. Similarly, in psychotherapy, insight does not arrive on schedule, and emotional change unfolds unevenly. These realities confront clinicians with the limits of control and the necessity of reflective restraint.

Psychologically, the discomfort associated with uncertainty is often driven by an implicit demand for closure. Clinicians are not immune to this drive. Diagnostic labels, treatment algorithms, and prognostic timelines can function as stabilizing anchors, but they may also become defenses against tolerating not-knowing. When uncertainty is prematurely resolved, clinical curiosity narrows and the complexity of the patient’s experience risks being reduced.

Reframing uncertainty as a clinical space rather than a problem to eliminate can meaningfully alter practice. When clinicians approach ambiguous situations as challenges rather than threats, cognitive flexibility increases. This stance supports more nuanced decision-making, fosters collaboration with patients, and reduces burnout associated with unrealistic expectations of certainty. Importantly, this reframing does not deny risk or responsibility; rather, it acknowledges uncertainty as intrinsic to ethical and patient-centered care.

In psychonephrology, the body offers a compelling metaphor for this adaptive process. The kidneys maintain internal balance through constant adjustment, responding dynamically to fluid shifts, metabolic demands, and external stressors. They do not seek stasis but regulation. Similarly, clinicians must regulate their own emotional and cognitive responses in the face of uncertain outcomes, balancing action with reflection and decisiveness with openness.

Several reflective practices can support clinicians in this work. One involves examining attributional patterns following adverse outcomes. When treatment plans fail or disease progresses despite best efforts, there is a tendency toward global conclusions—either self-blame or therapeutic nihilism. A more constructive stance involves contextualizing outcomes within specific clinical variables, preserving professional agency without resorting to omnipotence or resignation.

Another practice involves proactive engagement with anticipated uncertainty. Identifying upcoming clinical situations likely to evoke ambiguity and outlining multiple adaptive responses can reduce reactive decision-making. This approach supports preparedness without rigidity and allows clinicians to remain responsive to evolving clinical information rather than emotionally driven by urgency or fear.

Equally important is cultivating tolerance for parallel pathways. In complex renal care, there is rarely a single trajectory. Exploring alternatives—whether in treatment modalities, pacing of interventions, or psychosocial supports—reinforces a sense of shared decision-making and reduces the psychological burden of “all-or-nothing” outcomes. This flexibility is particularly protective against clinician burnout and moral distress.

Mindfulness, when framed clinically rather than prescriptively, offers another avenue for engaging uncertainty. Attending to one’s own physiological and emotional responses during ambiguous encounters allows clinicians to notice when anxiety, impatience, or over-control may be influencing judgment. This reflective awareness enhances clinical presence and supports more attuned patient interactions.

From a psychodynamic perspective, uncertainty often activates earlier relational templates in both patients and clinicians. Patients may experience ambiguous prognoses as abandonment or loss of safety, while clinicians may feel compelled to rescue, over-reassure, or withdraw. Recognizing these dynamics allows uncertainty to become a site of inquiry rather than enactment. It also deepens empathy for patients whose emotional responses may exceed what appears proportionate to the clinical facts.

Narrative work can further integrate uncertainty into clinical meaning. When clinicians invite patients to articulate how illness disrupts or reshapes their identity, uncertainty is repositioned as part of an unfolding story rather than a static threat. For clinicians themselves, reflective writing or supervision can serve a similar function, transforming clinical ambiguity into professional growth rather than cumulative strain.

Crucially, this approach does not advocate false reassurance or avoidance of difficult truths. Instead, it supports a form of grounded hope—one rooted in preparation, relational attunement, and reflective capacity. In accepting uncertainty as inherent, clinicians model psychological resilience and ethical humility, both of which are deeply therapeutic.

In the intersecting domains of psyche and soma, uncertainty is not simply endured; it is metabolized. When clinicians learn to work within it rather than against it, uncertainty becomes a source of depth, ethical clarity, and sustained engagement with the complexity of human illness.

About the Author

Dr Gavril Hercz

Dr. Gavril Hercz is a nephrologist at Humber River Health and Associate Professor of Medicine, University of Toronto. He completed his psychoanalytic training at the Toronto Psychoanalytic Institute and is a member of the Canadian Psychoanalytic Society. His major area of interest is the impact of physical illness on patients, families, and caregivers.

In clinical practice, uncertainty is not an exception but a constant.